15. December 2016

What future for Spain’s PSOE?

by Germán Jiménez Montes

german-jimenez-montesThe Greek tragedy of European social democracy turned into a soap opera last October, after the Spanish Socialist Worker’s Party’s (PSOE) leader, Pedro Sánchez, was forced to resign. The offensive was led by former socialist Prime Minister Felipe González, when he declared in Spain’s most popular morning show that he felt fooled by Sánchez. He argued that in the days following Spain’s June election Sánchez had privately assured him that he was going to respect the wishes of many in the PSOE by dropping his objection to allowing Mariano Rajoy, the leader of the conservative Partido Popular (PP), to form a minority government. Despite this promise, Sánchez refused to give in to the pressure, saying he would do nothing to facilitate the formation of a government led by such a corrupt party as the PP.

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15. December 2016

Climate change: a call for a united Europe to act

by Marta Remacha Recio

marta-remacha-recio-modifiedCoral bleaching; record-breaking temperatures; the Artic melting; the El Niño phenomenon becoming stronger; despite the success of the Paris Agreement one year ago, scientific evidence of the worsening impact of climate change is piling up. 2016 has even left us with a clear-cut evidence of the irreversibility of some damages: Melomys rubicola, a small rodent endemic to the Great Barrier Reef in Australia, holds the dubious honour of becoming the first mammal to be wiped out by human-induced climate change. The fight against global warming has entered a critical phase, which needs a united Europe ready to make the difference.

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8. December 2016

Will Italy’s post-Renzi government be led by a technocrat?

by Christopher Wratil and Giulia Pastorella

christopher-wratilAlready before Matteo Renzi had lost his constitutional referendum, media around the world claimed that a ‘government of technocrats’ was the most likely option to follow Renzi in case of electoral defeat. Drawing on their analysis of all technocratic governments appointed in 30 European democracies after 1977, Christopher Wratil – FutureLab Europe Member – and Giulia Pastorella estimate a rather low probability of 12-18% for the next Italian administration to be led by a technocrat. A technocratic government is therefore definitely possible but not as likely as suggested by the media.

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21. October 2016

Watchdogs and Veto players of the Brexit negotiations

by Valentin Kreilinger

valentin-kreilinger

Since UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced that “Brexit means Brexit”, many wonder how the process of negotiating Brexit will unfold. What governments and EU institutions do, will in any case be controlled by parliaments. But not only Westminster and the European Parliament try to shape Brexit negotiations and the future relationship between the UK and the EU-27: The case of Wallonia and CETA shows that other parliaments – national or even regional – matter when it comes to Brexit. The influence of these parliaments related to Article 50 TEU is limited, but a free trade agreement or another form of association between the UK and the EU-27 would need their consent. This blog post argues that European parliaments should strengthen the coordination with each other in order to avoid lacking information on the different strands of the negotiations on Brexit.

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