Will Italy’s post-Renzi government be led by a technocrat?

Posted on 8. December 2016 by Christopher Wratil and Giulia Pastorella

christopher-wratilAlready before Matteo Renzi had lost his constitutional referendum, media around the world claimed that a ‘government of technocrats’ was the most likely option to follow Renzi in case of electoral defeat. Drawing on their analysis of all technocratic governments appointed in 30 European democracies after 1977, Christopher Wratil - FutureLab Europe Member - and Giulia Pastorella estimate a rather low probability of 12-18% for the next Italian administration to be led by a technocrat. A technocratic government is therefore definitely possible but not as likely as suggested by the media.

Watchdogs and Veto players of the Brexit negotiations

21. October 2016 by Valentin Kreilinger

valentin-kreilinger Since UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced that “Brexit means Brexit”, many wonder how the process of negotiating Brexit will unfold. What governments and EU institutions do, will in any case be controlled by parliaments. But not only Westminster and the European Parliament try to shape Brexit negotiations and the future relationship between the UK and the EU-27: The case of Wallonia and CETA shows that other parliaments – national or even regional – matter when it comes to Brexit.

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A chance for Polish-Ukrainian reconciliation?

22. August 2016 by Michał Gulczyński & Ivan Kendzor

michal-gulczynskiivan-kendzorAlthough Poland is seen as the major ally of Ukraine in the European Union and the most engaged country in its democratisation process, relations between the two countries are not flawless. The massacres of Polish and Ukrainian civilians in Volyn in 1943 by the Ukrainian Insurgent Army left an unresolved black mark on the friendship between the two nations to this day.

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Disillusion and disengagement: how fighting corruption and protecting whistleblowers can help restore trust

26. July 2016 by Luis Placido dos Santos

Luis Plácido dos SantosTrust between citizens and their elected representatives is a crucial component of a well-governed EU. Lacking trust, citizens become cynical about their political system and apathy rises. Even worse, distrust is making many people experiencing something stronger than apathy: the feeling of absolute disaffection. Clearly, there is a downright dissatisfaction with people in authority nowadays and voter disengagement is getting worse both at national and European level, with the last EU election having the lowest-ever turnout.

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United in Diversity No Longer

6. July 2016 by Lotta Schneidemesser

lotta-schneidemesser-modified

When I turned on the radio on the morning of Friday 24 June, it took a few minutes for me to realise that I was listening to David Cameron’s resignation speech – and then another minute or so for the message to sink in: The United Kingdom had voted to leave the European Union (EU). As I am writing this, my feelings are mixed – there is anger, disbelief and sadness. I am upset, worried and disheartened in a way that I have never felt after any election so far in my life; above all there is an overwhelming sense of disappointment.

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